Fundamentals Overview
XPO Logistics, Inc. is near the high of its 52-week range with premium valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation premium
Intrinsic value (DCF)
-78.5% downside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
1.67 — higher vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Sell on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Supporting (Buy):
3M vs Industrials sector: +9.3%
Pressures (Sell):
DCF 78.5% downside vs price · Sentiment weakening (4 downgrades) · Beta 1.67 (elevated)
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: C+. Recent institutional grades: majority downgrades. Current institutional positions: Buy: 10, In Line: 3, Neutral: 5, Outperform: 3, Overweight: 7, Peer Perform: 1, Positive: 1.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $46.06; current price is $214.25. That’s a -78.5% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 73.26 |
| DCF value (model) | $46.06 (-78.5% vs price) |
| PEG (TTM) | N/A |
| P/B (TTM) | 13.54 |
| P/S (TTM) | 3.03 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 55.04 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 0.99 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 0.99 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 0.14 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 4.19% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 12.18% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 9.05% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for XPO.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oppenheimer | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-05-04 |
| Barclays | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-05-01 |
| TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-05-01 |
| Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In Line | In Line | 2026-05-01 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-05-01 |
| Benchmark | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-05-01 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-05-01 |
| Jefferies | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-22 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-16 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-07 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-04-07 |
| Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In Line | In Line | 2026-03-27 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-03-10 |
| Oppenheimer | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-03-03 |
| Susquehanna | downgrade | Positive | Neutral | 2026-02-11 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-02-09 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-06 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-06 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-06 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-06 |
| Oppenheimer | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-02-06 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-21 |
| Benchmark | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-16 |
| Evercore ISI Group | downgrade | Outperform | In Line | 2026-01-13 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-01-12 |
| TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-09 |
| Citigroup | downgrade | Buy | Neutral | 2026-01-08 |
| Wolfe Research | downgrade | Outperform | Peer Perform | 2026-01-08 |
| Susquehanna | maintain | Positive | Positive | 2026-01-05 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-12-16 |