Fundamentals Overview
XPO Logistics, Inc. is near the high of its 52-week range with premium valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation premium
Intrinsic value (DCF)
-83.7% downside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
1.64 — higher vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Sell on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Pressures (Sell):
DCF 83.7% downside vs price · 3M vs S&P 500: -10.6% · 3M vs Industrials sector: -5.5% · Beta 1.64 (elevated)
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: C+. Recent institutional grades: mixed. Current institutional positions: Buy: 8, In Line: 2, Neutral: 7, Outperform: 4, Overweight: 8, Underweight: 1.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $34.32; current price is $209.97. That’s a -83.7% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 71.8 |
| DCF value (model) | $34.32 (-83.7% vs price) |
| PEG (TTM) | N/A |
| P/B (TTM) | 13.27 |
| P/S (TTM) | 2.97 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 53.94 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 0.99 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 0.99 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 0.14 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 4.19% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 12.18% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 9.05% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
Latest News
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for XPO.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-07-09 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-07-07 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Underweight | Underweight | 2026-07-06 |
| Evercore ISI Group | upgrade | In Line | Outperform | 2026-07-01 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-06-15 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-06-08 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-06-05 |
| B of A Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-06-04 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-06-04 |
| Susquehanna | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-06-02 |
| Oppenheimer | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-05-04 |
| Benchmark | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-05-01 |
| TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-05-01 |
| Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In Line | In Line | 2026-05-01 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-05-01 |
| Barclays | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-05-01 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-05-01 |
| Jefferies | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-22 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-16 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-07 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-04-07 |
| Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In Line | In Line | 2026-03-27 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-03-10 |
| Oppenheimer | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-03-03 |
| Susquehanna | downgrade | Positive | Neutral | 2026-02-11 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-02-09 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-06 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-06 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-06 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-06 |