Fundamentals Overview
Vistra Corp. is in the middle of its 52-week range with premium valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation premium
Intrinsic value (DCF)
-90.6% downside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
1.5 — higher vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Sell on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Supporting (Buy):
Sentiment improving (2 upgrades)
Pressures (Sell):
DCF 90.6% downside vs price · 3M vs S&P 500: -6.3% · 3M vs Utilities sector: -13.7% · Beta 1.5 (elevated)
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: C+. Recent institutional grades: majority upgrades. Current institutional positions: Buy: 10, Hold: 1, Neutral: 2, Outperform: 6, Overweight: 10, Sector Outperform: 1.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $15.37; current price is $162.94. That’s a -90.6% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 58.65 |
| DCF value (model) | $15.37 (-90.6% vs price) |
| PEG (TTM) | N/A |
| P/B (TTM) | 10.84 |
| P/S (TTM) | 3.3 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 86.19 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 0.78 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 0.69 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 0.07 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 5.64% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 15.89% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 5.83% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for VST.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-03-19 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-27 |
| Jefferies | upgrade | Hold | Buy | 2026-02-10 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-01-20 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-01-12 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-12 |
| Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | 2026-01-12 |
| B of A Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-12 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-01-06 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-12-16 |
| Evercore ISI Group | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2025-11-07 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2025-11-07 |
| Seaport Global | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-10-08 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2025-10-03 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-09-25 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-09-24 |
| Jefferies | downgrade | Buy | Hold | 2025-09-23 |
| Goldman Sachs | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-08-13 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2025-08-12 |
| Jefferies | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-08-08 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-07-25 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-06-18 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-06-17 |
| Goldman Sachs | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-05-23 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-05-22 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-05-08 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-04-23 |
| UBS | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-04-11 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-03-28 |
| B of A Securities | upgrade | Neutral | Buy | 2025-03-04 |