Fundamentals Overview
Packaging Corporation of America is in the middle of its 52-week range with premium valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation premium
Intrinsic value (DCF)
-11.6% downside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
0.83 — in line vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Hold on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Supporting (Buy):
Analyst grade: B+ · Sentiment improving (4 upgrades)
Pressures (Sell):
DCF 11.6% downside vs price · 3M vs S&P 500: -14.3% · 3M vs Consumer Cyclical sector: -8.4%
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: B+. Recent institutional grades: majority upgrades. Current institutional positions: Buy: 11, Equal Weight: 1, Hold: 1, Neutral: 12, Overweight: 5.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $193.53; current price is $218.91. That’s a -11.6% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 26.34 |
| DCF value (model) | $193.53 (-11.6% vs price) |
| PEG (TTM) | N/A |
| P/B (TTM) | 4.22 |
| P/S (TTM) | 2.12 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 27.78 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 3.07 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 1.88 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 0.37 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 8.03% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 20.48% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 13.16% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for PKG.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | upgrade | Neutral | Buy | 2026-05-20 |
| Deutsche Bank | upgrade | Hold | Buy | 2026-05-04 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-28 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-27 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-04-24 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-21 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-04-15 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-14 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-10 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-04-07 |
| Deutsche Bank | upgrade | Sell | Hold | 2026-04-01 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-29 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-29 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-01-29 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-12 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-06 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-06 |
| Wells Fargo | upgrade | Equal Weight | Overweight | 2026-01-06 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-12-05 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-24 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-16 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-10-13 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2025-10-07 |
| Seaport Global | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-10-06 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-06 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-06 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-09-17 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-07-29 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-07-25 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-07-25 |