Fundamentals Overview
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is near the low of its 52-week range with premium valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation premium
Intrinsic value (DCF)
-21.9% downside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
1.06 — in line vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Hold on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Supporting (Buy):
Analyst grade: B
Pressures (Sell):
DCF 21.9% downside vs price · 3M vs S&P 500: -13.3% · 3M vs Consumer Cyclical sector: -7.5%
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: B. Recent institutional grades: mixed. Current institutional positions: Buy: 7, Equal Weight: 4, Hold: 1, Mixed: 1, Neutral: 4, Outperform: 6, Overweight: 7.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $27.53; current price is $35.25. That’s a -21.9% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 30.3 |
| DCF value (model) | $27.53 (-21.9% vs price) |
| PEG (TTM) | N/A |
| P/B (TTM) | 16.37 |
| P/S (TTM) | 3.91 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 32.2 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 1.23 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 1.19 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 0.3 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 12.88% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 25.38% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 16.88% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for CMG.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho | upgrade | Neutral | Outperform | 2026-03-20 |
| TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-03-20 |
| Argus Research | maintain | Hold | Hold | 2026-02-05 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-04 |
| Piper Sandler | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-04 |
| Stephens & Co. | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2026-02-04 |
| Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-04 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-02-04 |
| Citigroup | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-04 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-04 |
| Telsey Advisory Group | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-02-04 |
| TD Cowen | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-04 |
| BTIG | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-02-04 |
| Barclays | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2026-02-04 |
| Keybanc | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-04 |
| Stephens & Co. | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2026-02-03 |
| Piper Sandler | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-01-23 |
| BWG Global | downgrade | Positive | Mixed | 2026-01-22 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-01-22 |
| Raymond James | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-01-21 |
| Telsey Advisory Group | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-01-13 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-09 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2026-01-08 |
| Barclays | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2026-01-07 |
| Bernstein | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-01-05 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-02 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-10-30 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-30 |
| Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy | 2025-10-30 |
| RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2025-10-30 |