Fundamentals Overview
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is in the middle of its 52-week range with attractive valuation, trading relatively flat today.
Valuation attractive
Intrinsic value (DCF)
+166.6% upside vs price
Profitability
Risk (Beta)
0.52 — lower vol
Earnings & growth
BullzEye Analysis
Our composite tilts Buy on technicals (e.g. RSI, ADX, trend), fundamentals, sentiment, sector and index context, and risk.
Composite Signal
Supporting (Buy):
DCF +166.6% upside vs price · Analyst grade: A- · 3M vs S&P 500: +48.8% · 3M vs Basic Materials sector: +43.6%
Pressures (Sell):
Sentiment weakening (2 downgrades)
Not financial advice. For education and research only; do your own research and consider a financial advisor before investing.
Key Stats
About
Ratings & Grades at a Glance
Overall rating: A-. Recent institutional grades: majority downgrades. Current institutional positions: Equal Weight: 1, Neutral: 12, Outperform: 1, Overweight: 5, Sector Perform: 6, Underperform: 5.
Valuation & Ratios
Valuation, liquidity, and profitability metrics are consolidated here (including ratios that previously appeared in the Financials story). Trailing (TTM) vs forward-looking (e.g. DCF) is noted on each line where it matters.
DCF vs price: DCF estimate is $322.07; current price is $120.81. That’s a +166.6% gap. When the gap is large (e.g. >20%), that’s divergence; when they’re close, that’s convergence. Differences can reflect growth expectations, sector premiums, or conservative vs. optimistic assumptions. Use DCF as one input alongside technicals and sentiment.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Valuation | |
| P/E (TTM) | 12.96 |
| DCF value (model) | $322.07 (166.6% upside) |
| PEG (TTM) | 0.67 |
| P/B (TTM) | 3.89 |
| P/S (TTM) | 2.62 |
| P/FCF (TTM) | 10.3 |
| Liquidity & enterprise | |
| Current Ratio (TTM) | 3.37 |
| Quick Ratio (TTM) | 2.93 |
| Cash Ratio (TTM) | 2.23 |
| Profitability | |
| ROE (TTM) | N/A |
| ROA (TTM) | N/A |
| Revenue growth (YoY) | N/A |
| Net margin (TTM) | 20.54% |
| Gross margin (TTM) | 41.28% |
| Operating margin (TTM) | 36.65% |
| Debt to equity (TTM) | N/A |
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Price Target, Ratings & Grades
Analyst price targets, consensus, rating snapshot, and institutional grades for CF.
Analyst Sentiment at a Glance
Stock Grades (Institutions)
| Institution | Action | Previous Grade | New Grade | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-04-14 |
| Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | 2026-04-08 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Underperform | Underperform | 2026-03-31 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-03-26 |
| B of A Securities | maintain | Underperform | Underperform | 2026-03-18 |
| Mizuho | downgrade | Neutral | Underperform | 2026-03-18 |
| BMO Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform | 2026-03-18 |
| CIBC | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-03-17 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-03-13 |
| Barclays | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-03-03 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-02-24 |
| Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2026-02-23 |
| RBC Capital | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2026-02-23 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-02-20 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2026-02-20 |
| Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2026-02-02 |
| RBC Capital | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2026-01-20 |
| JP Morgan | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-15 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2026-01-12 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-12-18 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-11-11 |
| RBC Capital | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2025-11-10 |
| Scotiabank | maintain | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | 2025-11-10 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-11-06 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-11-06 |
| Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight | 2025-10-16 |
| B of A Securities | maintain | Underperform | Underperform | 2025-10-14 |
| Mizuho | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-09 |
| UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral | 2025-10-06 |
| B of A Securities | downgrade | Neutral | Underperform | 2025-08-14 |